{"id":206453,"date":"2025-05-15T11:29:14","date_gmt":"2025-05-15T08:29:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.stiridirecte.ro\/?p=206453"},"modified":"2025-05-15T11:30:00","modified_gmt":"2025-05-15T08:30:00","slug":"rasturnare-totala-de-situatie-cine-decide-de-fapt-victoria-din-turul-2-date-in-premiera-de-la-inscop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.stiridirecte.ro\/rasturnare-totala-de-situatie-cine-decide-de-fapt-victoria-din-turul-2-date-in-premiera-de-la-inscop-206453","title":{"rendered":"R\u0103sturnare total\u0103 de situa\u021bie. Cine decide, de fapt, victoria din turul 2. Date \u00een premier\u0103 de la INSCOP"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Turul doi al alegerilor preziden\u021biale se va decide la o mic\u0103 diferen\u021b\u0103 \u00eentre cei doi candida\u021bi, iar miza o reprezint\u0103 mobilizarea \u00een \u021bar\u0103, spune Remus \u0218tefureac, directorul INSCOP.<\/p><div id=\"stiri-1049312855\" class=\"stiri-continut stiri-entity-placement\"><div class='hbagency_space_26578'><\/div><\/div>\n<p>Directorul INSCOP explic\u0103 faptul c\u0103 votul de duminic\u0103 va fi unul \u201eechilibrat\u201d \u0219i c\u0103 \u00eentre cei doi candida\u021bi va fi o diferen\u021b\u0103 mic\u0103. \u00cen plus, el subliniaz\u0103 c\u0103 turul doi duce, \u00een general, la o polarizare a societ\u0103\u021bii \u0219i c\u0103, de aceast\u0103 dat\u0103, \u201emiza\u201d este reprezentat\u0103 de mobilizarea votan\u021bilor din \u021bar\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eRezultatul final cred c\u0103 va fi echilibrat, va \u021bine de mobilizarea puternic\u0103 la vot a ambelor tabere, care, sigur, vor fi intens concentrate p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een ultima zi, ultima or\u0103, ultima secund\u0103. Aceste alegeri cred c\u0103 se vor juca \u00eenc\u0103 o dat\u0103 la o diferen\u021b\u0103 mic\u0103. Iar de data acesta, miza traditionala nu va mai fi mobilizarea din diapsora unde intentia de vot e ceva mai clar\u0103, ci mobilizarea votului din \u021bar\u0103.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-206574\" src=\"https:\/\/www.stiridirecte.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Sondaj-irsop-768x487-1.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"768\" height=\"487\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Ultima s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 a confirmat ceea ce \u0219tiam de regul\u0103 despre competi\u021biile din al doilea tur, a confirmat o polarizare a societ\u0103\u021bii destul de clar\u0103 \u0219i, evident, o echilibrare puternic\u0103 a competi\u021biei\u201d, explic\u0103 Remus Ioan \u0218tefureac .<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen ceea ce prive\u0219te estim\u0103rile legate de scorurile pe care le-ar putea ob\u021bine cei doi candida\u021bi, politologul explic\u0103 faptul c\u0103 Nicu\u0219or Dan a reu\u0219it s\u0103 recupereze mult din diferen\u021ba ini\u021bial\u0103 de 15-20%. \u00cen plus, cei doi candida\u021bi au poten\u021bialul de a mobiliza cel pu\u021bin 1,5 milioane de aleg\u0103tori \u00een plus fa\u021b\u0103 de primul tur.<\/p>\n<p>\u201e\u00cen prima s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 s-a constatat o echilibrare a cursei. Dac\u0103 pe toate simul\u0103rile anterioare de tur doi, diferen\u021ba dintre domnul George Simion \u0219i domnul Nicu\u0219or Dan varia \u00eentre 15-20 de puncte, chiar, s\u0103 spunem, domnul Nicu\u0219or Dan performa ceva mai slab \u00een turul doi dec\u00e2t al\u021bi candida\u021bi, dup\u0103 rezultatele turul \u00eent\u00e2i, candidatul independent a recuperat masiv. Am v\u0103zut o mobilizare a aleg\u0103turilor din toate zonele, inclusiv ale celor care nu au intrat \u00een \u00een turul al doilea, plus foarte mul\u021bi aleg\u0103tori noi. M\u0103 a\u0219tept la 1,5 milioane, cel pu\u021bin, de aleg\u0103tori noi \u00een care s\u0103 vin\u0103 \u00een turul al doilea\u201d, mai explic\u0103 acesta.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen ceea ce prive\u0219te acest tur doi, \u0218tefureac explic\u0103 faptul c\u0103 am putea asista la un scenariu asem\u0103n\u0103tor turul doi din 2014, Klaus Iohannis vs Victor Ponta, \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te prezen\u021ba la urne. \u00cen urm\u0103 cu 10 ani, prezen\u021ba la urna a crescut de la 50% la 65%. \u00cen ceea ce prive\u0219te rezultatul final, acesta va depinde la mobilizarea celor dou\u0103 tabere.<\/p>\n<p>M\u0103 a\u0219tept s\u0103 avem o astfel de cre\u0219tere \u0219i vom vedea cum se vor mai schimba lucrurile \u00een aceast\u0103 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103. Probabil va fi un fenomen similar cu cel din turul doi din 2014, c\u00e2nd \u00een primul tur am avut cam 50%, iar \u00een turul doi am avut vreo 65% prezen\u021b\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\u0218i rezultatul final cred c\u0103 va fi echilibrat, va \u021bine de mobilizarea puternic\u0103 la vot a ambelor tabere, care, sigur, vor fi intens concentrate p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een ultima zi, ultima or\u0103, ultima secund\u0103. Aceste alegeri cred c\u0103 se vor juca \u00eenc\u0103 o dat\u0103 la o diferen\u021b\u0103 mic\u0103\u201d, concluzioneaz\u0103 Remu\u0219 \u0218tefureac.<\/p>\n<div id=\"stiri-1427427544\" class=\"stiri-dupa-continut stiri-entity-placement\" style=\"margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;text-align: center;\"><div class='hbagency_space_26578'><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Turul doi al alegerilor preziden\u021biale se va decide la o mic\u0103 diferen\u021b\u0103 \u00eentre cei doi candida\u021bi, iar miza o reprezint\u0103 mobilizarea \u00een \u021bar\u0103, spune Remus \u0218tefureac, directorul INSCOP. Directorul INSCOP explic\u0103 faptul c\u0103 votul de [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":206454,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-206453","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stiri"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>R\u0103sturnare total\u0103 de situa\u021bie. Cine decide, de fapt, victoria din turul 2. 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